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Red85
48429.0
260726.9
392925.0
Blue112
114337.3
495433.4
32126.1
60%Model gave it40%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions74662040608010012014085112

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
484
#19
29.00.6
20.320.9
Auto9.1
Teleop14.4
End5.5
blue by 8.2
37.32.8
25.127.9
Auto8.8
Teleop23.9
End4.5
Second
2607
#36
26.90.6
29.530.2
Auto8.6
Teleop14.5
End3.7
blue by 6.5
33.42.8
23.125.9
Auto9.4
Teleop18.4
End5.6
Third
3929
#24
25.00.6
21.021.6
Auto9.0
Teleop12.6
End3.4
blue by 1.1
321
#32
26.13.1
17.520.5
Auto6.2
Teleop17.4
End2.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
50%Breach oddsMissed48%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
0%Capture oddsMissed0%Capture oddsMissed