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Red122
36539.0
70838.8
255926.7
Blue129
34133.5
495433.4
48429.0
65%Model gave it35%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions138105050200250300122129

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
365
#5
39.00.1
39.139.0
Auto8.8
Teleop23.1
End7.1
red by 5.5
341
#31
33.50.3
32.332.5
Auto6.5
Teleop19.2
End7.7
Second
708
#2
38.80.1
38.938.8
Auto6.9
Teleop20.8
End11.1
red by 5.4
33.40.3
32.232.5
Auto9.4
Teleop18.4
End5.6
Third
2559
#18
26.70.1
26.826.7
Auto8.3
Teleop15.7
End2.7
blue by 2.3
484
#19
29.00.3
27.828.1
Auto9.1
Teleop14.4
End5.5