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Red180
446939.8
36041.6
323843.6
Blue117
142542.1
198343.9
290733.8
46%Model gave it54%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions16216750100150200250180117

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3238
#23
43.60.2
43.443.6
Auto9.0
Teleop29.7
End4.9
blue by 0.3
43.90.5
44.443.9
Auto12.6
Teleop17.5
End13.9
Second
360
#5
41.60.2
41.441.6
Auto9.7
Teleop27.0
End5.0
blue by 0.4
42.10.5
42.642.1
Auto7.8
Teleop20.7
End13.6
Third
39.80.2
39.639.8
Auto8.2
Teleop26.5
End5.1
red by 6.1
2907
#29
33.80.5
34.333.8
Auto10.2
Teleop18.4
End5.1