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Red165
131842.2
580339.9
366337.2
Blue132
299035.0
357436.2
491135.0
62%Model gave it38%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions158144100200250165132

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
42.20.1
42.942.7
Auto11.1
Teleop26.7
End4.4
red by 6.0
3574
#12
36.20.0
36.836.8
Auto9.3
Teleop21.5
End5.3
Second
39.90.1
40.540.4
Auto9.0
Teleop19.1
End11.7
red by 4.8
4911
#16
35.00.0
35.735.7
Auto9.4
Teleop20.1
End5.6
Third
3663
#56
37.20.1
37.937.7
Auto10.6
Teleop21.8
End4.7
red by 2.2
2990
#51
35.00.0
35.735.7
Auto10.1
Teleop19.4
End5.5