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Red157
142542.1
198343.9
290733.8
Blue184
413137.2
125835.6
247142.5
77%Model gave it23%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions175147100200250157184

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
43.90.3
45.845.5
Auto12.6
Teleop17.5
End13.9
red by 1.4
2471
#24
42.50.3
42.743.0
Auto14.4
Teleop21.6
End6.5
Second
42.10.3
44.043.7
Auto7.8
Teleop20.7
End13.6
red by 4.8
4131
#18
37.20.3
37.537.8
Auto7.3
Teleop25.3
End4.7
Third
2907
#29
33.80.3
35.735.4
Auto10.2
Teleop18.4
End5.1
blue by 1.9
1258
#10
35.60.3
35.836.1
Auto11.4
Teleop17.6
End6.6