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Red105
214732.1
446939.8
322326.7
Blue85
406136.3
99727.7
371131.2
64%Model gave it36%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1079740608012014016010585

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
39.80.5
42.642.1
Auto8.2
Teleop26.5
End5.1
red by 3.5
4061
#25
36.30.7
37.136.4
Auto11.1
Teleop19.2
End6.0
Second
2147
#35
32.10.5
33.432.9
Auto11.3
Teleop15.2
End5.6
red by 0.9
3711
#53
31.20.7
30.429.7
Auto10.4
Teleop16.3
End4.5
Third
3223
#34
26.70.5
26.325.8
Auto9.6
Teleop12.2
End4.9
blue by 1.0
997
#60
27.70.7
28.427.6
Auto8.0
Teleop17.0
End2.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
94%Breach oddsEarned99%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
14%Capture oddsMissed10%Capture oddsMissed