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Red119
125835.6
378725.2
131842.2
Blue108
357436.2
491135.0
252232.1
41%Model gave it59%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1061126080100120140160119108

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
42.20.4
43.143.5
Auto11.1
Teleop26.7
End4.4
red by 6.0
3574
#12
36.20.6
37.637.0
Auto9.3
Teleop21.5
End5.3
Second
1258
#10
35.60.4
35.736.1
Auto11.4
Teleop17.6
End6.6
red by 0.6
4911
#16
35.00.6
36.535.8
Auto9.4
Teleop20.1
End5.6
Third
3787
#49
25.20.4
24.825.2
Auto8.9
Teleop12.6
End3.6
blue by 6.9
2522
#28
32.10.6
33.633.0
Auto12.0
Teleop15.9
End4.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
95%Breach oddsEarned98%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
26%Capture oddsEarned55%Capture oddsMissed