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Red88
413225.2
263524.9
95533.0
Blue107
580339.9
408928.5
125835.6
34%Model gave it66%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions819720406012014016018088107

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
955
#7
33.00.4
30.230.6
Auto8.4
Teleop20.1
End4.6
blue by 6.9
39.91.0
32.533.5
Auto9.0
Teleop19.1
End11.7
Second
4132
#52
25.20.4
26.827.3
Auto9.0
Teleop12.6
End3.7
blue by 10.4
1258
#10
35.61.0
31.632.6
Auto11.4
Teleop17.6
End6.6
Third
2635
#62
24.90.4
24.324.7
Auto7.5
Teleop13.6
End3.8
blue by 3.5
4089
#13
28.51.0
27.628.6
Auto8.2
Teleop15.8
End4.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
81%Breach oddsEarned95%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
0%Capture oddsMissed1%Capture oddsMissed