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Red105
151025.2
159536.4
255741.6
Blue127
378725.2
446939.8
594238.0
34%Model gave it66%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions931046080120140160105127

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2557
#15
41.60.9
35.836.7
Auto7.6
Teleop24.2
End9.8
red by 1.8
39.81.9
41.343.2
Auto8.2
Teleop26.5
End5.1
Second
1595
#32
36.40.9
31.232.1
Auto11.4
Teleop18.4
End6.6
blue by 1.6
5942
#37
38.01.9
32.534.3
Auto8.2
Teleop23.7
End6.1
Third
1510
#64
25.20.9
25.025.9
Auto6.6
Teleop15.8
End2.8
Level
3787
#49
25.21.9
25.427.2
Auto8.9
Teleop12.6
End3.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
98%Breach oddsEarned86%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
2%Capture oddsEarned2%Capture oddsEarned