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Red122
545033.3
491135.0
446939.8
Blue102
263524.9
498036.1
412530.4
83%Model gave it17%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1218650100150200122102

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
39.80.0
43.243.2
Auto8.2
Teleop26.5
End5.1
red by 3.8
4980
#44
36.10.9
32.733.6
Auto9.8
Teleop15.0
End11.3
Second
4911
#16
35.00.0
35.235.2
Auto9.4
Teleop20.1
End5.6
red by 4.7
4125
#38
30.40.9
31.732.5
Auto9.6
Teleop16.7
End4.0
Third
5450
#19
33.30.0
33.833.8
Auto7.3
Teleop20.0
End6.1
red by 8.4
2635
#62
24.90.9
24.425.3
Auto7.5
Teleop13.6
End3.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
96%Breach oddsEarned73%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
13%Capture oddsEarned0%Capture oddsMissed