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Red100
546829.6
151025.2
323843.6
Blue138
549533.6
159536.4
247142.5
39%Model gave it61%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1021086080120140100138

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3238
#23
43.60.0
44.744.7
Auto9.0
Teleop29.7
End4.9
red by 1.1
2471
#24
42.52.2
41.643.9
Auto14.4
Teleop21.6
End6.5
Second
5468
#61
29.60.0
30.330.3
Auto9.9
Teleop16.1
End3.6
blue by 6.7
1595
#32
36.42.2
32.534.8
Auto11.4
Teleop18.4
End6.6
Third
1510
#64
25.20.0
25.325.3
Auto6.6
Teleop15.8
End2.8
blue by 8.4
5495
#20
33.62.2
30.232.4
Auto10.4
Teleop18.5
End4.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
98%Breach oddsEarned98%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
3%Capture oddsMissed14%Capture oddsEarned