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Red95
75330.5
237436.8
177835.3
Blue128
302438.0
291033.8
448843.5
41%Model gave it59%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions10011105015020095128

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2374
#26
36.80.3
34.233.9
Auto10.1
Teleop22.5
End4.1
blue by 6.7
4488
#11
43.51.5
43.344.7
Auto12.4
Teleop24.6
End6.5
Second
1778
#14
35.30.3
33.433.1
Auto7.1
Teleop22.9
End5.3
blue by 2.6
3024
#30
38.01.5
34.235.6
Auto8.6
Teleop23.7
End5.6
Third
753
#22
30.50.3
31.431.1
Auto8.0
Teleop17.5
End5.1
blue by 3.3
2910
#21
33.81.5
28.730.1
Auto8.2
Teleop16.9
End8.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
94%Breach oddsMissed91%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
9%Capture oddsEarned26%Capture oddsEarned