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Red144
255741.6
323843.6
198343.9
Blue90
546829.6
298031.1
281129.2
98%Model gave it2%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions140835010015020014490

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
43.91.1
41.242.4
Auto12.6
Teleop17.5
End13.9
red by 12.7
2980
#17
31.10.1
28.128.2
Auto6.7
Teleop20.1
End4.3
Second
3238
#23
43.61.1
44.745.8
Auto9.0
Teleop29.7
End4.9
red by 14.0
5468
#61
29.60.1
30.330.3
Auto9.9
Teleop16.1
End3.6
Third
2557
#15
41.61.1
41.242.4
Auto7.6
Teleop24.2
End9.8
red by 12.4
2811
#63
29.20.1
30.330.3
Auto6.4
Teleop17.9
End5.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
100%Breach oddsEarned95%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
8%Capture oddsEarned1%Capture oddsMissed