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Red109
413137.2
448843.5
491528.6
Blue67
293031.2
413225.2
407722.9
83%Model gave it17%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions117825010015020010967

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4488
#11
43.50.3
44.744.4
Auto12.4
Teleop24.6
End6.5
red by 12.3
2930
#33
31.21.5
32.631.1
Auto9.5
Teleop16.1
End5.5
Second
4131
#18
37.20.3
37.537.2
Auto7.3
Teleop25.3
End4.7
red by 12.1
4132
#52
25.21.5
27.025.4
Auto9.0
Teleop12.6
End3.7
Third
4915
#55
28.60.3
26.726.4
Auto8.7
Teleop16.5
End3.4
red by 5.7
4077
#59
22.91.5
25.624.1
Auto7.4
Teleop10.9
End4.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
96%Breach oddsEarned97%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
17%Capture oddsMissed2%Capture oddsMissed