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Red99
582722.5
252232.1
549533.6
Blue103
357436.2
382635.3
237436.8
11%Model gave it89%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions81119406010014016018099103

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5495
#20
33.61.0
32.433.4
Auto10.4
Teleop18.5
End4.7
blue by 3.3
2374
#26
36.80.8
33.933.1
Auto10.1
Teleop22.5
End4.1
Second
2522
#28
32.11.0
32.033.0
Auto12.0
Teleop15.9
End4.2
blue by 4.1
3574
#12
36.20.8
37.736.9
Auto9.3
Teleop21.5
End5.3
Third
5827
#54
22.51.0
19.920.9
Auto8.8
Teleop10.8
End3.0
blue by 12.8
3826
#42
35.30.8
38.537.7
Auto10.9
Teleop19.4
End5.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
88%Breach oddsEarned96%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
4%Capture oddsEarned7%Capture oddsEarned