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Red113
299035.0
357436.2
491135.0
Blue172
446939.8
36041.6
323843.6
28%Model gave it72%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions14216650100200250113172

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3574
#12
36.20.3
36.536.2
Auto9.3
Teleop21.5
End5.3
blue by 7.4
3238
#23
43.60.1
43.243.3
Auto9.0
Teleop29.7
End4.9
Second
4911
#16
35.00.3
35.335.0
Auto9.4
Teleop20.1
End5.6
blue by 6.6
360
#5
41.60.1
41.341.3
Auto9.7
Teleop27.0
End5.0
Third
2990
#51
35.00.3
35.335.0
Auto10.1
Teleop19.4
End5.5
blue by 4.8
39.80.1
39.539.5
Auto8.2
Teleop26.5
End5.1