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Red147
399047.0
561832.9
353318.3
Blue117
338621.7
315829.5
586527.7
89%Model gave it11%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions13079050100150200147117

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
47.00.0
47.647.6
Auto9.4
Teleop26.6
End10.9
red by 17.5
3158
#13
29.50.4
29.129.5
Auto7.1
Teleop17.4
End4.9
Second
32.90.0
33.733.7
Auto8.6
Teleop18.6
End5.6
red by 5.2
5865
#22
27.70.6
27.127.7
Auto7.0
Teleop16.3
End4.5
Third
3533
#26
18.30.0
19.119.2
Auto4.7
Teleop10.5
End3.1
blue by 3.5
3386
#35
21.70.6
21.221.7
Auto9.1
Teleop12.6
End0.0