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Red107
355033.3
29630.6
400722.4
Blue103
400138.9
354420.7
262625.0
53%Model gave it47%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions106100050150200250107103

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
33.30.1
32.732.6
Auto8.8
Teleop17.7
End6.8
blue by 5.6
4001
#10
38.90.0
38.138.1
Auto10.9
Teleop19.4
End8.6
Second
296
#6
30.60.1
30.029.9
Auto8.9
Teleop14.2
End7.5
red by 5.6
2626
#14
25.00.0
24.024.0
Auto7.9
Teleop13.3
End3.8
Third
4007
#18
22.40.1
21.621.5
Auto8.2
Teleop10.9
End3.3
red by 1.7
20.70.0
19.719.7
Auto4.2
Teleop12.9
End3.6