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Red118
591030.0
336038.5
543918.2
Blue105
311728.1
544327.3
399627.1
45%Model gave it55%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions101106406080120140160180200118105

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
38.50.3
36.937.1
Auto10.3
Teleop17.7
End10.5
red by 10.4
3117
#21
28.10.3
28.428.1
Auto8.0
Teleop15.5
End4.7
Second
30.00.4
27.828.2
Auto7.0
Teleop17.9
End5.0
red by 2.7
5443
#12
27.30.4
27.727.3
Auto8.8
Teleop14.7
End3.8
Third
5439
#41
18.20.4
16.016.3
Auto4.9
Teleop9.9
End3.4
blue by 9.0
3996
#15
27.10.4
27.527.1
Auto6.2
Teleop16.8
End4.1