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Red59
495021.0
544327.3
459413.6
Blue68
495224.3
561832.9
400138.9
14%Model gave it86%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions4384020601001201401605968

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5443
#12
27.30.7
17.017.7
Auto8.8
Teleop14.7
End3.8
blue by 11.6
4001
#10
38.90.6
33.933.3
Auto10.9
Teleop19.4
End8.6
Second
4950
#30
21.00.7
17.418.1
Auto9.2
Teleop10.3
End1.5
blue by 11.9
32.90.8
22.521.6
Auto8.6
Teleop18.6
End5.6
Third
4594
#49
13.60.5
13.213.7
Auto1.9
Teleop10.0
End1.6
blue by 10.7
4952
#31
24.30.8
19.118.3
Auto6.5
Teleop12.5
End5.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
20%Breach oddsEarned41%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
0%Capture oddsMissed1%Capture oddsMissed