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Red50
400722.4
517921.3
354420.7
Blue40
399627.1
509516.1
449120.8
38%Model gave it62%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions475902040801001201405040

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4007
#18
22.40.8
17.416.6
Auto8.2
Teleop10.9
End3.3
blue by 4.7
3996
#15
27.11.7
22.821.1
Auto6.2
Teleop16.8
End4.1
Second
5179
#19
21.30.8
16.515.7
Auto7.6
Teleop11.6
End2.1
red by 0.5
4491
#40
20.81.7
16.414.7
Auto5.7
Teleop10.1
End5.0
Third
20.70.8
13.212.5
Auto4.2
Teleop12.9
End3.6
red by 4.7
5095
#27
16.11.7
16.014.3
Auto2.4
Teleop10.6
End3.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
26%Breach oddsMissed35%Breach oddsMissed
Capture
0%Capture oddsMissed0%Capture oddsMissed