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Red45
397517.9
337917.2
495517.9
Blue69
595213.6
494726.9
544027.2
34%Model gave it66%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions445020304060704569

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4955
#42
17.90.1
13.213.3
Auto4.5
Teleop11.0
End2.5
blue by 9.3
5440
#11
27.22.4
18.320.7
Auto7.6
Teleop16.6
End3.0
Second
3975
#32
17.90.1
14.514.6
Auto4.2
Teleop10.7
End2.9
blue by 9.0
26.92.4
15.618.0
Auto9.0
Teleop13.2
End4.7
Third
3379
#46
17.20.1
16.216.3
Auto3.5
Teleop11.1
End2.6
red by 3.6
5952
#47
13.62.4
13.616.0
Auto0.8
Teleop9.5
End3.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
25%Breach oddsMissed27%Breach oddsMissed
Capture
0%Capture oddsMissed0%Capture oddsMissed