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Red65
262625.0
338715.2
400138.9
Blue72
315829.5
494216.4
336038.5
21%Model gave it79%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions648702040801001201406572

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4001
#10
38.90.7
33.332.6
Auto10.9
Teleop19.4
End8.6
red by 0.4
38.50.6
34.133.5
Auto10.3
Teleop17.7
End10.5
Second
2626
#14
25.01.2
16.215.0
Auto7.9
Teleop13.3
End3.8
blue by 4.5
3158
#13
29.50.6
32.832.2
Auto7.1
Teleop17.4
End4.9
Third
3387
#37
15.21.2
16.014.9
Auto4.0
Teleop8.8
End2.4
blue by 1.2
4942
#24
16.41.0
14.113.1
Auto5.6
Teleop9.1
End1.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
26%Breach oddsMissed87%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
1%Capture oddsMissed0%Capture oddsMissed