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Red73
396917.1
338621.7
544027.2
Blue79
604020.2
449120.8
595213.6
61%Model gave it39%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions534402060801007379

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5440
#11
27.22.6
20.723.3
Auto7.6
Teleop16.6
End3.0
red by 6.5
4491
#40
20.82.2
14.717.0
Auto5.7
Teleop10.1
End5.0
Second
3386
#35
21.72.6
18.821.4
Auto9.1
Teleop12.6
End0.0
red by 1.6
6040
#28
20.22.2
13.315.5
Auto3.0
Teleop13.2
End4.0
Third
3969
#43
17.12.6
10.412.9
Auto4.0
Teleop11.7
End1.5
red by 3.5
5952
#47
13.62.2
16.018.2
Auto0.8
Teleop9.5
End3.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
18%Breach oddsEarned26%Breach oddsMissed
Capture
0%Capture oddsMissed0%Capture oddsMissed