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Red60
517921.3
494216.4
338621.7
Blue47
459413.6
311728.1
337917.2
41%Model gave it59%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions485502040801001206047

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3386
#35
21.70.8
21.422.2
Auto9.1
Teleop12.6
End0.0
blue by 6.4
3117
#21
28.11.0
25.424.4
Auto8.0
Teleop15.5
End4.7
Second
5179
#19
21.30.8
13.013.9
Auto7.6
Teleop11.6
End2.1
red by 4.1
3379
#46
17.21.7
14.813.1
Auto3.5
Teleop11.1
End2.6
Third
4942
#24
16.40.8
13.113.9
Auto5.6
Teleop9.1
End1.7
red by 2.8
4594
#49
13.61.0
12.111.1
Auto1.9
Teleop10.0
End1.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
24%Breach oddsMissed39%Breach oddsMissed
Capture
0%Capture oddsMissed0%Capture oddsMissed