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Red62
353318.3
398515.7
400722.4
Blue43
555321.0
557014.0
495517.9
73%Model gave it27%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions543502060801006243

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4007
#18
22.40.8
15.316.2
Auto8.2
Teleop10.9
End3.3
red by 1.4
5553
#23
21.00.1
16.917.0
Auto5.1
Teleop11.9
End4.1
Second
3533
#26
18.30.8
18.619.4
Auto4.7
Teleop10.5
End3.1
red by 0.4
4955
#42
17.90.1
10.710.8
Auto4.5
Teleop11.0
End2.5
Third
3985
#38
15.70.8
15.716.5
Auto3.1
Teleop10.4
End2.1
red by 1.6
5570
#33
14.00.1
9.59.6
Auto5.0
Teleop7.0
End2.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
20%Breach oddsMissed26%Breach oddsMissed
Capture
0%Capture oddsMissed0%Capture oddsMissed