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Red51
398824.9
509516.1
555321.0
Blue52
398619.9
262625.0
398119.8
42%Model gave it58%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions495702040801001201405152

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3988
#39
24.90.3
17.718.0
Auto11.5
Teleop10.1
End3.3
blue by 0.1
2626
#14
25.00.2
19.819.6
Auto7.9
Teleop13.3
End3.8
Second
5553
#23
21.00.3
15.015.3
Auto5.1
Teleop11.9
End4.1
red by 1.2
3986
#20
19.90.1
19.619.5
Auto4.0
Teleop13.0
End3.0
Third
5095
#27
16.10.3
15.816.0
Auto2.4
Teleop10.6
End3.1
blue by 3.7
3981
#17
19.80.2
14.714.5
Auto7.5
Teleop9.4
End2.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
36%Breach oddsMissed52%Breach oddsMissed
Capture
0%Capture oddsMissed0%Capture oddsMissed