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Red84
555321.0
354420.7
29630.6
Blue39
599415.4
315829.5
544416.3
34%Model gave it66%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions54632040801008439

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
296
#6
30.61.3
25.226.5
Auto8.9
Teleop14.2
End7.5
red by 1.1
3158
#13
29.51.4
31.229.9
Auto7.1
Teleop17.4
End4.9
Second
5553
#23
21.02.2
16.418.6
Auto5.1
Teleop11.9
End4.1
red by 4.8
5444
#34
16.32.3
15.413.1
Auto2.9
Teleop9.0
End4.3
Third
20.72.2
12.915.1
Auto4.2
Teleop12.9
End3.6
red by 5.3
5994
#48
15.42.3
13.110.8
Auto5.8
Teleop7.5
End2.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
52%Breach oddsEarned59%Breach oddsMissed
Capture
0%Capture oddsMissed0%Capture oddsMissed