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Red81
517921.3
398619.9
399047.0
Blue88
552628.5
561832.9
400722.4
58%Model gave it42%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions85770501001508188

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
47.00.7
45.444.7
Auto9.4
Teleop26.6
End10.9
red by 14.1
32.91.4
28.329.7
Auto8.6
Teleop18.6
End5.6
Second
5179
#19
21.31.2
16.315.2
Auto7.6
Teleop11.6
End2.1
blue by 7.2
28.50.8
28.529.3
Auto10.7
Teleop12.9
End4.9
Third
3986
#20
19.90.7
19.819.1
Auto4.0
Teleop13.0
End3.0
blue by 2.6
4007
#18
22.41.4
18.820.2
Auto8.2
Teleop10.9
End3.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
80%Breach oddsEarned77%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
1%Capture oddsMissed0%Capture oddsEarned