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Red70
517921.3
495021.0
604020.2
Blue78
338715.2
355033.3
557014.0
58%Model gave it42%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions57532040801007078

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5179
#19
21.31.6
17.619.2
Auto7.6
Teleop11.6
End2.1
blue by 12.0
33.31.7
30.932.6
Auto8.8
Teleop17.7
End6.8
Second
4950
#30
21.01.6
19.621.1
Auto9.2
Teleop10.3
End1.5
red by 5.8
3387
#37
15.22.7
12.715.3
Auto4.0
Teleop8.8
End2.4
Third
6040
#28
20.21.6
17.819.4
Auto3.0
Teleop13.2
End4.0
red by 6.2
5570
#33
14.02.7
8.711.3
Auto5.0
Teleop7.0
End2.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
46%Breach oddsEarned40%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
0%Capture oddsMissed1%Capture oddsMissed