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Red108
494726.9
396917.1
336038.5
Blue84
452622.6
400722.4
591030.0
54%Model gave it46%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions74712040608010012010884

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
38.52.5
34.637.1
Auto10.3
Teleop17.7
End10.5
red by 8.5
30.01.4
26.728.1
Auto7.0
Teleop17.9
End5.0
Second
26.93.8
22.626.4
Auto9.0
Teleop13.2
End4.7
red by 4.3
4526
#29
22.61.0
22.423.4
Auto7.4
Teleop12.1
End3.0
Third
3969
#43
17.13.8
14.017.8
Auto4.0
Teleop11.7
End1.5
blue by 5.3
4007
#18
22.41.5
20.221.7
Auto8.2
Teleop10.9
End3.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
75%Breach oddsEarned54%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
0%Capture oddsEarned1%Capture oddsMissed