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Red45
452622.6
495722.3
517921.3
Blue42
397517.9
544416.3
544027.2
54%Model gave it46%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions575402040801004542

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4526
#29
22.60.7
20.920.2
Auto7.4
Teleop12.1
End3.0
blue by 4.7
5440
#11
27.21.2
19.518.3
Auto7.6
Teleop16.6
End3.0
Second
4957
#25
22.31.1
16.415.3
Auto4.3
Teleop12.7
End5.3
red by 4.4
3975
#32
17.91.2
15.714.5
Auto4.2
Teleop10.7
End2.9
Third
5179
#19
21.31.1
17.516.5
Auto7.6
Teleop11.6
End2.1
red by 5.0
5444
#34
16.31.2
17.816.6
Auto2.9
Teleop9.0
End4.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
34%Breach oddsMissed39%Breach oddsMissed
Capture
0%Capture oddsMissed0%Capture oddsMissed