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Red80
544027.2
398119.8
338214.1
Blue92
494726.9
561832.9
354420.7
21%Model gave it79%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions588220401001201401608092

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5440
#11
27.21.0
27.228.2
Auto7.6
Teleop16.6
End3.0
blue by 5.6
32.91.5
31.533.1
Auto8.6
Teleop18.6
End5.6
Second
3981
#17
19.81.0
19.820.7
Auto7.5
Teleop9.4
End2.9
blue by 7.1
26.91.5
26.428.0
Auto9.0
Teleop13.2
End4.7
Third
3382
#45
14.11.0
13.114.1
Auto3.1
Teleop8.8
End2.2
blue by 6.7
20.71.5
18.019.5
Auto4.2
Teleop12.9
End3.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
63%Breach oddsEarned84%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
0%Capture oddsMissed1%Capture oddsEarned