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Red95
399047.0
561832.9
353318.3
Blue85
400138.9
354420.7
262625.0
73%Model gave it27%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions125101501502009585

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
47.00.5
47.446.8
Auto9.4
Teleop26.6
End10.9
red by 8.1
4001
#10
38.90.4
39.238.9
Auto10.9
Teleop19.4
End8.6
Second
32.90.7
33.432.7
Auto8.6
Teleop18.6
End5.6
red by 7.8
2626
#14
25.00.5
25.525.0
Auto7.9
Teleop13.3
End3.8
Third
3533
#26
18.30.7
18.918.1
Auto4.7
Teleop10.5
End3.1
blue by 2.4
20.70.5
21.220.7
Auto4.2
Teleop12.9
End3.6