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Red136
12536.9
19031.2
584621.9
Blue74
174015.2
431123.4
283622.9
97%Model gave it3%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions120712040608010014016018013674

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
125
#7
36.90.5
36.537.0
Auto11.5
Teleop20.7
End4.7
red by 13.5
4311
#13
23.40.2
23.523.3
Auto10.9
Teleop9.4
End3.1
Second
190
#1
31.20.5
30.831.3
Auto8.8
Teleop16.2
End6.2
red by 8.3
2836
#19
22.90.2
23.022.8
Auto3.2
Teleop14.0
End5.7
Third
5846
#26
21.90.5
21.622.0
Auto8.9
Teleop9.9
End3.1
red by 6.8
1740
#34
15.20.2
15.215.1
Auto1.6
Teleop12.3
End1.3