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Red112
127731.4
511231.0
622422.1
Blue161
176831.6
404833.3
447327.7
33%Model gave it67%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1041176080140160180112161

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1277
#14
31.40.2
31.231.4
Auto11.3
Teleop15.3
End4.8
blue by 1.9
33.30.4
33.634.0
Auto7.1
Teleop21.5
End4.7
Second
31.00.2
30.831.0
Auto10.8
Teleop16.8
End3.4
blue by 0.6
1768
#12
31.60.4
32.032.3
Auto9.7
Teleop14.6
End7.3
Third
6224
#18
22.10.2
21.922.1
Auto8.5
Teleop9.4
End4.2
blue by 5.6
4473
#15
27.70.4
28.028.4
Auto9.2
Teleop14.0
End4.4