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Red52
404833.3
584621.9
15730.7
Blue45
197315.5
174015.2
264828.1
84%Model gave it16%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions795820401001205245

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
33.31.4
28.427.0
Auto7.1
Teleop21.5
End4.7
red by 5.2
2648
#16
28.11.4
27.626.1
Auto10.9
Teleop13.6
End3.6
Second
157
#11
30.71.4
25.323.9
Auto10.0
Teleop15.8
End4.8
red by 15.1
1973
#27
15.51.3
14.012.7
Auto4.0
Teleop11.1
End0.4
Third
5846
#26
21.91.5
19.117.6
Auto8.9
Teleop9.9
End3.1
red by 6.8
1740
#34
15.22.1
17.815.6
Auto1.6
Teleop12.3
End1.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
71%Breach oddsMissed59%Breach oddsMissed
Capture
0%Capture oddsMissed0%Capture oddsMissed