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Red75
371926.1
495816.7
206733.0
Blue86
19031.2
197315.5
105839.0
40%Model gave it60%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions6777020401001201401607586

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
33.00.6
28.328.9
Auto12.8
Teleop15.9
End4.4
blue by 6.0
39.00.5
33.834.3
Auto9.0
Teleop18.7
End11.3
Second
3719
#23
26.10.6
20.020.6
Auto10.5
Teleop11.9
End3.7
blue by 5.1
190
#1
31.20.5
26.627.1
Auto8.8
Teleop16.2
End6.2
Third
4958
#36
16.70.9
18.219.2
Auto5.2
Teleop9.6
End1.9
red by 1.2
1973
#27
15.50.5
13.213.7
Auto4.0
Teleop11.1
End0.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
61%Breach oddsEarned84%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
0%Capture oddsMissed1%Capture oddsEarned