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Red65
9716.8
447419.4
540016.7
Blue80
476127.7
516313.9
151723.2
28%Model gave it72%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions4560020801001206580

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4474
#35
19.41.3
19.420.6
Auto6.7
Teleop9.2
End3.5
blue by 8.3
4761
#22
27.70.9
25.226.1
Auto7.0
Teleop15.1
End5.6
Second
97
#31
16.81.3
12.013.3
Auto7.0
Teleop9.4
End0.4
blue by 6.4
1517
#28
23.20.9
21.722.6
Auto2.4
Teleop14.5
End6.2
Third
5400
#29
16.71.3
14.415.6
Auto3.7
Teleop11.6
End1.3
red by 2.8
5163
#30
13.90.9
9.610.5
Auto3.9
Teleop7.2
End2.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
38%Breach oddsEarned45%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
0%Capture oddsMissed0%Capture oddsMissed