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Red87
127731.4
416921.1
283622.9
Blue52
495816.7
15730.7
617214.7
71%Model gave it29%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions776320401001208752

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1277
#14
31.41.0
31.032.0
Auto11.3
Teleop15.3
End4.8
red by 0.8
157
#11
30.71.0
27.226.2
Auto10.0
Teleop15.8
End4.8
Second
2836
#19
22.91.0
22.823.7
Auto3.2
Teleop14.0
End5.7
red by 6.2
4958
#36
16.71.7
19.217.4
Auto5.2
Teleop9.6
End1.9
Third
4169
#20
21.11.0
18.919.8
Auto8.6
Teleop9.6
End3.0
red by 6.5
6172
#33
14.71.7
16.114.4
Auto4.3
Teleop10.1
End0.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
90%Breach oddsEarned70%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
0%Capture oddsMissed0%Capture oddsMissed