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Red81
151723.2
197315.5
409722.8
Blue45
447327.7
622422.1
226221.9
23%Model gave it77%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions567402040801001208145

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1517
#28
23.21.2
21.622.8
Auto2.4
Teleop14.5
End6.2
blue by 4.5
4473
#15
27.71.7
26.324.6
Auto9.2
Teleop14.0
End4.4
Second
4097
#17
22.81.2
20.321.5
Auto6.2
Teleop13.8
End2.8
red by 0.7
6224
#18
22.12.8
22.519.8
Auto8.5
Teleop9.4
End4.2
Third
1973
#27
15.51.2
15.717.0
Auto4.0
Teleop11.1
End0.4
blue by 6.4
2262
#25
21.92.8
21.018.2
Auto7.6
Teleop12.1
End2.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
53%Breach oddsMissed75%Breach oddsMissed
Capture
0%Capture oddsMissed0%Capture oddsMissed