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Red69
431123.4
447327.7
151723.2
Blue46
617214.7
176831.6
416921.1
55%Model gave it45%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions69610501001502006946

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4473
#15
27.70.6
25.324.7
Auto9.2
Teleop14.0
End4.4
blue by 3.9
1768
#12
31.61.0
28.227.2
Auto9.7
Teleop14.6
End7.3
Second
4311
#13
23.40.5
20.920.4
Auto10.9
Teleop9.4
End3.1
red by 2.3
4169
#20
21.11.0
17.216.2
Auto8.6
Teleop9.6
End3.0
Third
1517
#28
23.20.5
20.920.4
Auto2.4
Teleop14.5
End6.2
red by 8.5
6172
#33
14.710.1
24.014.0
Auto4.3
Teleop10.1
End0.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
65%Breach oddsMissed64%Breach oddsMissed
Capture
0%Capture oddsMissed0%Capture oddsMissed