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Red61
584621.9
617214.7
19031.2
Blue87
511231.0
175722.8
615323.6
28%Model gave it72%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions637720401001206187

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
190
#1
31.20.2
29.529.3
Auto8.8
Teleop16.2
End6.2
red by 0.2
31.00.9
28.729.6
Auto10.8
Teleop16.8
End3.4
Second
5846
#26
21.90.2
20.920.7
Auto8.9
Teleop9.9
End3.1
blue by 1.6
6153
#24
23.61.2
24.125.3
Auto9.4
Teleop11.8
End2.4
Third
6172
#33
14.70.3
13.613.3
Auto4.3
Teleop10.1
End0.3
blue by 8.1
1757
#32
22.81.2
20.521.7
Auto6.2
Teleop12.1
End4.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
76%Breach oddsEarned75%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
1%Capture oddsMissed0%Capture oddsMissed