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Red79
476127.7
431123.4
175722.8
Blue84
409722.8
127731.4
15730.7
23%Model gave it77%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions72894060801001201407984

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4761
#22
27.70.4
27.327.7
Auto7.0
Teleop15.1
End5.6
blue by 3.7
1277
#14
31.40.0
31.031.1
Auto11.3
Teleop15.3
End4.8
Second
4311
#13
23.40.4
23.023.5
Auto10.9
Teleop9.4
End3.1
blue by 7.2
157
#11
30.70.0
30.430.4
Auto10.0
Teleop15.8
End4.8
Third
1757
#32
22.80.5
22.322.8
Auto6.2
Teleop12.1
End4.5
Level
4097
#17
22.80.0
22.122.1
Auto6.2
Teleop13.8
End2.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
90%Breach oddsEarned94%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
1%Capture oddsMissed1%Capture oddsMissed