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Red105
206733.0
511231.0
283622.9
Blue95
595820.5
404833.3
371926.1
64%Model gave it36%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions8577406010012014010595

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
33.01.5
31.433.0
Auto12.8
Teleop15.9
End4.4
blue by 0.3
33.31.3
32.233.5
Auto7.1
Teleop21.5
End4.7
Second
31.01.5
29.130.6
Auto10.8
Teleop16.8
End3.4
red by 4.9
3719
#23
26.11.3
24.525.8
Auto10.5
Teleop11.9
End3.7
Third
2836
#19
22.91.5
21.423.0
Auto3.2
Teleop14.0
End5.7
red by 2.4
5958
#21
20.51.3
19.320.5
Auto5.9
Teleop11.3
End3.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
82%Breach oddsEarned78%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
1%Capture oddsEarned1%Capture oddsMissed