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Red45
495816.7
584621.9
447419.4
Blue82
135025.6
409722.8
283622.9
59%Model gave it41%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions6056203040507080904582

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5846
#26
21.90.8
17.616.7
Auto8.9
Teleop9.9
End3.1
blue by 3.7
25.61.8
19.321.1
Auto11.1
Teleop10.3
End4.2
Second
4474
#35
19.40.8
20.820.0
Auto6.7
Teleop9.2
End3.5
blue by 3.5
2836
#19
22.91.8
21.122.8
Auto3.2
Teleop14.0
End5.7
Third
4958
#36
16.71.4
19.117.7
Auto5.2
Teleop9.6
End1.9
blue by 6.1
4097
#17
22.81.8
15.116.8
Auto6.2
Teleop13.8
End2.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
65%Breach oddsMissed65%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
0%Capture oddsMissed0%Capture oddsMissed