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Red67
394617.5
222118.4
192725.7
Blue69
191231.2
375320.0
433615.5
48%Model gave it52%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions627001002003004005006769

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
25.70.0
25.725.7
Auto4.2
Teleop18.0
End3.5
blue by 5.5
31.20.0
31.231.2
Auto8.9
Teleop17.7
End4.6
Second
2221
#11
18.40.0
18.418.4
Auto5.6
Teleop9.6
End3.2
blue by 1.6
3753
#13
20.00.0
20.020.0
Auto6.0
Teleop10.8
End3.2
Third
3946
#16
17.50.0
17.517.5
Auto2.3
Teleop13.2
End2.0
red by 2.0
4336
#12
15.50.0
15.515.5
Auto2.9
Teleop10.1
End2.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
66%Breach odds67%Breach odds
Capture
1%Capture odds0%Capture odds