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Red71
333715.1
192725.7
384733.9
Blue42
208017.8
394617.5
586419.3
71%Model gave it29%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions815201001502007142

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
33.90.0
33.933.9
Auto9.2
Teleop19.8
End5.0
red by 14.6
19.30.0
19.319.3
Auto5.0
Teleop11.5
End2.9
Second
25.70.0
25.725.7
Auto4.2
Teleop18.0
End3.5
red by 7.9
2080
#17
17.80.0
17.817.8
Auto6.6
Teleop8.8
End2.4
Third
3337
#10
15.10.0
15.115.1
Auto4.2
Teleop9.0
End1.9
blue by 2.4
3946
#16
17.50.0
17.517.5
Auto2.3
Teleop13.2
End2.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
60%Breach odds71%Breach odds
Capture
1%Capture odds0%Capture odds