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Red71
516823.4
408724.0
208017.8
Blue110
384733.9
458753.6
394617.5
12%Model gave it88%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions58117010015020025071110

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
24.00.0
24.024.0
Auto6.7
Teleop16.1
End1.3
blue by 29.6
53.60.0
53.653.6
Auto13.5
Teleop35.7
End4.3
Second
5168
#18
23.40.0
23.423.4
Auto4.7
Teleop15.0
End3.7
blue by 10.5
33.90.0
33.933.9
Auto9.2
Teleop19.8
End5.0
Third
2080
#17
17.80.0
17.817.8
Auto6.6
Teleop8.8
End2.4
red by 0.2
3946
#16
17.50.0
17.517.5
Auto2.3
Teleop13.2
End2.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
74%Breach odds94%Breach odds
Capture
1%Capture odds14%Capture odds