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Red58
375320.0
361624.4
420913.0
Blue78
410713.9
384733.9
208017.8
43%Model gave it57%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions576901001502005878

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3616
#14
24.40.0
24.424.4
Auto7.3
Teleop13.5
End3.6
blue by 9.5
33.90.0
33.933.9
Auto9.2
Teleop19.8
End5.0
Second
3753
#13
20.00.0
20.020.0
Auto6.0
Teleop10.8
End3.2
red by 2.2
2080
#17
17.80.0
17.817.8
Auto6.6
Teleop8.8
End2.4
Third
4209
#19
13.00.0
13.013.0
Auto4.2
Teleop6.3
End2.4
blue by 0.9
4107
#21
13.90.0
13.913.9
Auto-0.0
Teleop10.6
End3.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
31%Breach odds66%Breach odds
Capture
0%Capture odds2%Capture odds